App State
W-L: ( 5- 2) PR = 79.5610Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 H Maine 55- 3 912 A Ea. Carolina ( 4- 4, 79.3) 27- 24 919 H Charlotte ( 1- 7, 74.3) 26- 21 926 A NC State ( 4- 4, 83.0) 31- 41 1010 H Old Dominion ( 2- 7, 73.6) 3- 10 1016 A Coastal Car. ( 3- 5, 79.1) 35- 32 1022 H J. Madison ( 7- 2, 88.7) 34- 31 1114 A Marshall ( 5- 3, 80.3) 1121 H UL Monroe ( 1- 7, 70.3) 1127 A So. Alabama ( 4- 4, 80.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
912 A Ea. Carolina 27-24 3 -3 ++ 5.93
919 H Charlotte 26-21 5 8 - -3.43
926 A NC State 31-41 -10 -7 - -3.34
1010 H Old Dominion 3-10 -7 9 --- -16.16
1016 A Coastal Car. 35-32 3 -3 ++ 5.74
1022 H J. Madison 34-31 3 -6 +++ 8.91
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 H Old Dominion 3-10 -7 9 --- -16.16 919 H Charlotte 26-21 5 8 - -3.43 926 A NC State 31-41 -10 -7 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1022 H J. Madison 34-31 3 -6 +++ 8.91 912 A Ea. Carolina 27-24 3 -3 ++ 5.93 1016 A Coastal Car. 35-32 3 -3 ++ 5.74 |
App State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Boston Col | Boston Col | ||
| California | App State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App State | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | App State | App State | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | NC State | NC State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Va. Tech | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | App State | App State | ||
| Ea. Carolina | App State | App State | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | Fl. Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | No. Texas | |
| Rice | App State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App State | |
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | App State | App State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | App State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App State | |
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | App State | App State | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | We. Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | App State | App State | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Florida Int | Florida Int | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Liberty | |
| La. Tech | La. Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | La. Tech | |
| Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | Mid. Tenn. | ||
| N. Mexico St | App State | App State | ||
| Sam Houston | App State | App State | ||
| UTEP | App State | App State | ||
| We. Kentucky | App State | App State | ||
| Mass. | App State | App State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | App State | App State | ||
| Ball State | App State | App State | ||
| Bowl'g Green | App State | App State | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Ce. Michigan | App State | App State | ||
| Ea. Michigan | App State | App State | ||
| Kent St | App State | App State | ||
| Miami (OH) | App State | App State | ||
| No. Illinois | App State | App State | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | We. Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | App State | App State | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | App State | App State | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | App State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App State | |
| San Jose St | App State | App State | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash. St | App State | App State | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| Arkansas St | App State | App State | ||
| Coastal Car. | App State | App State | ||
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Georgia So. | |
| Georgia St | App State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | App State | |
| J. Madison | App State | App State | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Louisiana | |
| Marshall | Marshall | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So. Miss | App State | App State | ||
| So. Alabama | So. Alabama | So. Alabama | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | App State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App State | |
| UL Monroe | App State | App State | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Delaware | |
| Missouri St | App State | App State |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Ea. Carolina ( 4- 4, 79.3) 27-24 -20.61 12.63 3.20 1.36 42.99
1 H Charlotte ( 1- 7, 74.3) 26-21 -25.57 7.67 -3.20 1.36 12.15
1 A NC State ( 4- 4, 83.0) 31-41 -16.88 16.36 3.20 1.36 -9.29
1 H Old Dominion ( 2- 7, 73.6) 3-10 -26.31 6.93 -3.20 1.36 -20.03
1 A Coastal Car. ( 3- 5, 79.1) 35-32 -20.79 12.45 3.20 1.36 42.48
1 H J. Madison ( 7- 2, 88.7) 34-31 -11.23 22.01 -3.20 1.36 51.09
------
119.40
|
winning pts = 148.7187 losing points = -29.3180
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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